President Donald Trump’s approval rating has sunk to 40 percent, the lowest level of his current term, as new polling highlights demographic shifts that could reshape his political base.
At a Glance
- Reuters/Ipsos poll on August 18 places Trump’s approval at 40 percent
- Approval among Hispanic voters has fallen to between 27 and 32 percent
- Pew Research finds approval among Asian Americans at 31 percent
- Young Trump voters (18–34) show a decline from 92 percent approval earlier this year to 69 percent now
Record Low Numbers
The August 18 Reuters/Ipsos survey placed President Trump’s approval at 40 percent, a level that ties the lowest of his second term. Disapproval remained elevated across most groups, underscoring a difficult period for the administration. Polling also shows that Hispanic approval has dropped to roughly 32 percent, a decline from higher levels recorded during the 2024 election.
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The trend is not confined to one demographic. Pew Research surveys indicate Trump’s overall national approval now hovers at 38 percent. Among Asian Americans, support is at 31 percent, while younger voters between 18 and 34 years old who previously backed him have reduced their approval levels significantly.
Coalition Under Strain
Analysts highlight that the erosion of support in nonwhite and younger demographics suggests Trump’s 2024 electoral coalition is beginning to fracture. Hispanics, who gave him around 48 percent of their vote in 2024, are now registering approval levels as low as 27 percent. Asian American support is also slipping, reflecting broader disaffection outside the Republican core.
Meanwhile, the durability of Trump’s backing among Republican voters remains a defining factor. In Illinois, 92 percent of self-described “strong Republicans” still approve of his performance, reflecting the deep loyalty of his base. However, the loss of moderates and independents could pose long-term challenges in states where margins are narrow.
Looking Ahead
Trump’s approval trajectory presents a split picture: stability within his Republican foundation but consistent decline across broader electorates. Comparisons to his first term show similar polarization, but the sharper erosion among key groups such as Hispanics and young voters may have a larger impact heading into upcoming electoral cycles.
Experts note that while core approval rates among Republicans remain robust, presidents historically struggle when overall national approval falls into the low 40s. The next set of polling data will determine whether this downturn stabilizes or continues to erode, shaping the administration’s political standing as it approaches major policy fights and electoral tests.
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